Air Force
W-L: ( 3-29) PR = 94.0319Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Belmont MV (26- 6, 96.7) 63-79 1108 H Austin Peay AS (21-10, 95.5) 54-74 1111 H LIU NE (24-11, 95.2) 72-76 1115 H Miami (OH) MA (30- 4, 97.4) 61-76 1119 A Alabama St SWAC (10-22, 93.8) 66-64 1121 A SIUE OV (19-15, 94.5) 77-63 1123 A IUI HL ( 6-24, 93.5) 98-85 1126 H No Colorado BS (20-12, 95.6) 53-71 1129 H So Dakota SM (16-15, 94.8) 63-80 1203 H Pacific WC (18-15, 96.1) 65-80 1207 H Navy PAT (26- 8, 95.4) 56-61 1217 H San Diego St MW (22-11, 97.4) 58-81 1230 H Wyoming MW (18-15, 96.3) 56-68 103 H UNLV MW (18-17, 96.4) 39-67 106 H Utah State MW (29- 7, 97.9) 62-99 110 H New Mexico MW (26-11, 97.2) 49-91 113 H San Jose St MW ( 9-24, 95.3) 62-70 117 H Nevada MW (24-13, 96.9) 66-81 120 H Colorado St MW (21-13, 96.7) 52-81 124 H Boise St MW (20-12, 97.0) 54-96 131 H Fresno St MW (13-19, 95.7) 62-79 203 H Grand Canyon MW (20-12, 96.7) 57-81 207 H San Diego St MW (22-11, 97.4) 54-88 210 H Colorado St MW (21-13, 96.7) 74-91 214 H Fresno St MW (13-19, 95.7) 63-93 217 H New Mexico MW (26-11, 97.2) 61-98 221 H UNLV MW (18-17, 96.4) 66-91 224 H San Jose St MW ( 9-24, 95.3) 80-86 228 H Wyoming MW (18-15, 96.3) 62-66 303 H Grand Canyon MW (20-12, 96.7) 60-86 307 H Nevada MW (24-13, 96.9) 59-74 311 H Nevada MW (24-13, 96.9) 45-80
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Belmont 63-79 -16 -3 0.00
1108 H Austin Peay 54-74 -20 -1 -0.52
1111 H LIU 72-76 -4 -1 -0.84
1115 H Miami (OH) 61-76 -15 -3 0.00
1119 A Alabama St 66-64 2 0 1.75
1121 A SIUE 77-63 14 0 + 2.47
1123 A IUI 98-85 13 0 1.52
1126 H No Colorado 53-71 -18 -2 -0.47
1129 H So Dakota 63-80 -17 -1 -1.23
1203 H Pacific 65-80 -15 -2 0.00
1207 H Navy 56-61 -5 -1 -0.60
1217 H San Diego St 58-81 -23 -3 0.00
1230 H Wyoming 56-68 -12 -2 0.00
103 H UNLV 39-67 -28 -2 0.00
106 H Utah State 62-99 -37 -4 0.00
110 H New Mexico 49-91 -42 -3 0.00
113 H San Jose St 62-70 -8 -1 -0.73
117 H Nevada 66-81 -15 -3 0.00
120 H Colorado St 52-81 -29 -3 0.00
124 H Boise St 54-96 -42 -3 0.00
131 H Fresno St 62-79 -17 -2 -0.30
203 H Grand Canyon 57-81 -24 -3 0.00
207 H San Diego St 54-88 -34 -3 0.00
210 H Colorado St 74-91 -17 -3 0.00
214 H Fresno St 63-93 -30 -2 -0.30
217 H New Mexico 61-98 -37 -3 0.00
221 H UNLV 66-91 -25 -2 0.00
224 H San Jose St 80-86 -6 -1 -0.73
228 H Wyoming 62-66 -4 -2 0.00
303 H Grand Canyon 60-86 -26 -3 0.00
307 H Nevada 59-74 -15 -3 0.00
311 H Nevada 45-80 -35 -3 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1121 A SIUE 77-63 14 0 + 2.47 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Belmont (26- 6, 96.7) 63-79 -3.15 4.32 -0.01 1.03 -1.63
3 H Austin Peay (21-10, 95.5) 54-74 -4.38 3.09 -0.01 1.03 -2.27
3 H LIU (24-11, 95.2) 72-76 -4.70 2.78 -0.01 1.03 -2.43
3 H Miami (OH) (30- 4, 97.4) 61-76 -2.50 4.97 -0.01 1.03 -1.30
3 A Alabama St (10-22, 93.8) 66-64 -6.13 1.35 0.01 1.03 2.80
3 A SIUE (19-15, 94.5) 77-63 -5.41 2.07 0.01 1.03 4.29
3 A IUI ( 6-24, 93.5) 98-85 -6.36 1.11 0.01 1.03 2.32
3 H No Colorado (20-12, 95.6) 53-71 -4.33 3.15 -0.01 1.03 -2.24
3 H So Dakota (16-15, 94.8) 63-80 -5.09 2.39 -0.01 1.03 -2.63
3 H Pacific (18-15, 96.1) 65-80 -3.85 3.63 -0.01 1.03 -1.99
3 H Navy (26- 8, 95.4) 56-61 -4.46 3.02 -0.01 1.03 -2.30
3 H San Diego St (22-11, 97.4) 58-81 -2.51 4.96 -0.01 1.03 -1.30
3 H Wyoming (18-15, 96.3) 56-68 -3.63 3.85 -0.01 1.03 -1.88
3 H UNLV (18-17, 96.4) 39-67 -3.50 3.97 -0.01 1.03 -1.81
3 H Utah State (29- 7, 97.9) 62-99 -2.00 5.47 -0.01 1.03 -1.04
3 H New Mexico (26-11, 97.2) 49-91 -2.67 4.81 -0.01 1.03 -1.38
3 H San Jose St ( 9-24, 95.3) 62-70 -4.59 2.88 -0.01 1.03 -2.37
3 H Nevada (24-13, 96.9) 66-81 -2.96 4.51 -0.01 1.03 -1.53
3 H Colorado St (21-13, 96.7) 52-81 -3.21 4.26 -0.01 1.03 -1.66
3 H Boise St (20-12, 97.0) 54-96 -2.85 4.62 -0.01 1.03 -1.48
3 H Fresno St (13-19, 95.7) 62-79 -4.16 3.32 -0.01 1.03 -2.15
3 H Grand Canyon (20-12, 96.7) 57-81 -3.19 4.29 -0.01 1.03 -1.65
3 H San Diego St (22-11, 97.4) 54-88 -2.51 4.96 -0.01 1.03 -1.30
3 H Colorado St (21-13, 96.7) 74-91 -3.21 4.26 -0.01 1.03 -1.66
3 H Fresno St (13-19, 95.7) 63-93 -4.16 3.32 -0.01 1.03 -2.15
3 H New Mexico (26-11, 97.2) 61-98 -2.67 4.81 -0.01 1.03 -1.38
3 H UNLV (18-17, 96.4) 66-91 -3.50 3.97 -0.01 1.03 -1.81
3 H San Jose St ( 9-24, 95.3) 80-86 -4.59 2.88 -0.01 1.03 -2.37
3 H Wyoming (18-15, 96.3) 62-66 -3.63 3.85 -0.01 1.03 -1.88
3 H Grand Canyon (20-12, 96.7) 60-86 -3.19 4.29 -0.01 1.03 -1.65
3 H Nevada (24-13, 96.9) 59-74 -2.96 4.51 -0.01 1.03 -1.53
3 H Nevada (24-13, 96.9) 45-80 -2.96 4.51 -0.01 1.03 -1.53
------
-42.91
|
winning pts = 9.4053 losing points = -52.3124
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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